What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 08 Mar 2014 → 25 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 17 May 2014 → 13 Jun 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 4 | 06 Jul 2014 → 26 Jul 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 3 | 03 Oct 2014 → 17 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 3 | 13 Mar 1985 → 12 Apr 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 3 | 10 Feb 1980 → 09 Mar 1980 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 3 | 17 Feb 1974 → 31 Mar 1974 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 10 Jan 1925 → 14 Feb 1925 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 2 | 17 Jul 2026 → 14 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 31 Oct 2020 → 29 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAI Cup | 123 | 39 | 31.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Premier Division | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 0 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2015 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2014 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 10 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2001 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1924 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 164 matches (Jan 1922 – Aug 2026), Athlone Town drew 53 where the draw model expected 39.8 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 2.4 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 6 times running. A flat league average would have expected 38.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.