What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 25 Aug 2000 → 26 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 15 Sep 1996 → 01 Dec 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 10 Dec 1995 → 04 Feb 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 12 Jan 1997 → 10 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 05 Dec 1990 → 22 May 1991 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 06 May 2001 → 16 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 01 Oct 1995 → 29 Nov 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 25 Feb 2001 → 22 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 04 May 1997 → 21 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 27 Nov 1994 → 29 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 166 | 39 | 23.5% | 3 | 10 |
| Greek Football Cup | 90 | 18 | 20.0% | 1 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 9 |
| 2000 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 14 |
| 1999 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1997 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 1996 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 1995 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 1994 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 1993 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1990 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1953 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 258 matches (Oct 1938 – Sep 2002), Athinaikos drew 59 where the draw model expected 60.8 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 60.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.