What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 27 Aug 2012 → 21 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 20 Oct 2024 → 21 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 19 Jan 2019 → 04 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 13 Mar 1994 → 08 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 29 Feb 2024 → 25 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 15 Mar 2009 → 30 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 18 Oct 2025 → 21 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 24 Sep 2014 → 06 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 15 | 27 Oct 2011 → 21 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 15 | 03 May 2008 → 18 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 1197 | 281 | 23.5% | 9 | 20 |
| UEFA Champions League | 200 | 52 | 26.0% | 1 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 117 | 17 | 14.5% | 2 | 16 |
| Copa del Rey | 106 | 26 | 24.5% | 0 | 5 |
| Segunda División | 84 | 21 | 25.0% | 0 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 58 | 12 | 20.7% | 3 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 4 | 7 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 2 | 8 |
| Supercopa de España | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 55 | 8 | 14.5% | 13 |
| 2025 | 60 | 11 | 18.3% | 15 |
| 2024 | 59 | 10 | 17.0% | 16 |
| 2023 | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | 13 |
| 2022 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2021 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 7 |
| 2019 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 19 |
| 2018 | 60 | 15 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2017 | 65 | 22 | 33.9% | 6 |
| 2016 | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 13 |
| 2015 | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | 11 |
| 2014 | 60 | 14 | 23.3% | 15 |
| 2013 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 14 |
| 2012 | 58 | 8 | 13.8% | 28 |
| 2011 | 55 | 11 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2010 | 63 | 13 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2009 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 16 |
| 2008 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 15 |
| 2007 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 12 |
| 2006 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2005 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 8 |
| 2004 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2002 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2001 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2000 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 1999 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 10 |
| 1998 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 1997 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 4 |
| 1996 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 1995 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 6 |
| 1994 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 17 |
| 1993 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 8 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1974 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1963 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1962 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1958 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
Over 674 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Atlético Madrid drew 154 where the draw model expected 153.7 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 167.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.