What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 02 Oct 2010 → 10 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 01 Nov 2025 → 10 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 06 May 2024 → 15 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 22 May 2005 → 25 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 18 Jul 2026 → 22 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Oct 2024 → 22 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 10 Feb 2021 → 18 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 05 Nov 1995 → 11 Feb 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 25 Mar 2012 → 26 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 21 Dec 2008 → 15 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 1008 | 280 | 27.8% | 1 | 14 |
| Serie B | 206 | 73 | 35.4% | 0 | 15 |
| Coppa Italia | 55 | 5 | 9.1% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Supercoppa Italiana | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 13 |
| 2025 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 12 |
| 2024 | 60 | 10 | 16.7% | 15 |
| 2023 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 6 |
| 2021 | 58 | 14 | 24.1% | 13 |
| 2020 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2019 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2018 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 6 |
| 2017 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 2015 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2012 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 12 |
| 2011 | 39 | 18 | 46.2% | 4 |
| 2010 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 15 |
| 2009 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2008 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 11 |
| 2007 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 5 |
| 2006 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 14 |
| 2004 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 6 |
| 2003 | 40 | 21 | 52.5% | 3 |
| 2002 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 8 |
| 2001 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2000 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 1999 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 5 |
| 1998 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 1997 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 1996 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 1995 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 1994 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1993 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 1990 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Over 581 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Atalanta BC drew 144 where the draw model expected 135.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 150.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.