What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 20 Oct 2019 → 07 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 27 Nov 2016 → 06 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 25 Jul 2014 → 25 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 23 Feb 2019 → 19 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 17 Mar 2017 → 08 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 29 Oct 2013 → 18 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 14 Sep 2018 → 26 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 20 Sep 2015 → 24 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 20 Aug 2012 → 01 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 02 May 2021 → 19 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 319 | 85 | 26.7% | 5 | 12 |
| Romanian Cup | 64 | 20 | 31.3% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 1 | 9 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 6 |
| 2020 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 6 |
| 2019 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 11 |
| 2018 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2017 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 10 |
| 2016 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2015 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 12 |
| 2013 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 9 |
| 2012 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 282 matches (Feb 2015 – Aug 2022), Astra Giurgiu drew 79 where the draw model expected 76.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 74.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.