Asteras Tripolis
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 444 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Asteras Tripolis drew 128 where the draw model expected 114.0 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 106.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 20 Oct 2015 → 17 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 27 Oct 2024 → 03 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 24 Nov 2018 → 16 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 14 Dec 2021 → 19 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 09 Feb 2013 → 27 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 09 Oct 2023 → 07 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 20 Dec 2025 → 08 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 19 Aug 2014 → 04 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 02 Feb 2014 → 29 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 30 Oct 2011 → 11 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 609 | 177 | 29.1% | 0 | 15 |
| Greek Football Cup | 91 | 20 | 22.0% | 4 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 26 | 11 | 42.3% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2023 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2022 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 12 |
| 2021 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 3 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2015 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 16 |
| 2014 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 11 |
| 2013 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 14 |
| 2012 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 10 |
| 2011 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2010 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2008 | 33 | 15 | 45.5% | 7 |
| 2007 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 16:30 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:30 |
Panathinaikos
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 16:30 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 17:00 |
PAOK Thessaloniki
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:00 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.