What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 05 Mar 2017 → 09 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 23 Feb 2003 → 31 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 07 Oct 1997 → 05 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 30 Mar 2024 → 24 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 03 Nov 2018 → 06 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 23 Mar 2012 → 30 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 13 Jan 2010 → 06 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 08 Aug 2009 → 31 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 16 Dec 2000 → 14 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 19 Oct 1996 → 28 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 1145 | 309 | 27.0% | 1 | 19 |
| UEFA Champions League | 124 | 30 | 24.2% | 0 | 11 |
| Ligue 2 | 76 | 26 | 34.2% | 4 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 70 | 17 | 24.3% | 3 | 10 |
| Coupe de France | 62 | 11 | 17.7% | 3 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 25 | 12 | 48.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 4 | 4 |
| Trophée des Champions | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 6 |
| 2025 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2024 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 2023 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 10 |
| 2018 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 56 | 8 | 14.3% | 24 |
| 2016 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2012 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2011 | 38 | 18 | 47.4% | 6 |
| 2010 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 11 |
| 2009 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2008 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2007 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 10 |
| 2006 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 8 |
| 2005 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2004 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 8 |
| 2003 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 16 |
| 2002 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2000 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 7 |
| 1999 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 1998 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1997 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 12 |
| 1996 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 11 |
| 1995 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 1994 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 1993 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 5 |
| 1992 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 559 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), AS Monaco drew 131 where the draw model expected 134.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 146.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.