What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15 Feb 2025 → 07 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 14 Dec 2025 → 22 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 08 Sep 2024 → 02 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 20 Sep 2023 → 11 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 03 Mar 2026 → 28 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 16 Apr 2023 → 10 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 05 Feb 2023 → 26 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 09 Oct 2022 → 23 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 12 Apr 2026 → 26 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 02 Nov 2025 → 15 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 166 | 51 | 30.7% | 3 | 15 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 9 |
| 2025 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 15 |
| 2024 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 11 |
| 2023 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2019 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 3 |
Over 166 matches (Aug 2019 – Apr 2026), Arzignano Valchiampo drew 51 where the draw model expected 52.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 50.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.