What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12 Dec 2016 → 20 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 10 Apr 2019 → 05 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 10 Jul 2015 → 28 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 18 Dec 2020 → 15 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 08 May 2023 → 06 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 18 May 2014 → 21 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 30 Jul 2023 → 30 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 26 Jun 2017 → 27 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 30 Apr 2016 → 12 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 21 Mar 2015 → 10 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 300 | 81 | 27.0% | 1 | 16 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 2 | 9 |
| Copa Argentina | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 2 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2022 | 42 | 20 | 47.6% | 4 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2020 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2018 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 5 |
| 2017 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 10 |
| 2016 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2015 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 2014 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2013 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 8 |
| 2012 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 6 |
Over 270 matches (Feb 2015 – Jun 2024), Arsenal de Sarandí drew 75 where the draw model expected 81.0 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 81.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.