What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 04 Mar 2018 → 19 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 29 Sep 2025 → 06 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 07 Oct 2018 → 10 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 20 Nov 2016 → 28 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 18 Jul 2016 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 11 Jul 2020 → 02 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 22 Oct 2017 → 25 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 10 Mar 2017 → 17 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 09 Aug 2025 → 14 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 04 Mar 2020 → 10 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 182 | 50 | 27.5% | 2 | 12 |
| Polish Cup | 97 | 24 | 24.7% | 1 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 3 |
| 2025 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2023 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2020 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 5 |
| 2019 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 15 |
| 2017 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 6 |
| 2016 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2012 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 224 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2026), Arka Gdynia drew 61 where the draw model expected 60.1 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 58.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.