What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 May 2024 → 03 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 22 Mar 2026 → 09 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 31 Jul 2025 → 27 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 27 Sep 2021 → 03 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 29 Sep 2018 → 28 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 27 Aug 2022 → 06 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 15 Feb 2021 → 27 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 31 Aug 2019 → 30 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 26 Feb 2018 → 20 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 07 Apr 2014 → 17 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 373 | 106 | 28.4% | 3 | 9 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 70 | 24 | 34.3% | 0 | 7 |
| Copa Argentina | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 0 | 5 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 9 |
| 2025 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2024 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2022 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2021 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 9 |
| 2020 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2019 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 8 |
| 2017 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2015 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2014 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2012 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 5 |
| 1985 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 397 matches (Feb 2015 – Nov 2026), Argentinos Juniors drew 113 where the draw model expected 124.3 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 120.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.