What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 10 Feb 2025 → 19 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 13 Mar 2005 → 28 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 28 Apr 2024 → 06 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 08 Apr 2019 → 31 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 09 Aug 2026 → 27 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 29 Jul 2017 → 04 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 21 Apr 2007 → 26 May 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 28 Oct 2006 → 02 Dec 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 02 Mar 2024 → 30 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 10 Dec 2005 → 18 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 238 | 73 | 30.7% | 3 | 22 |
| Serie B | 136 | 47 | 34.6% | 0 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 23 |
| 2024 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 4 |
| 2020 | 27 | 11 | 40.7% | 4 |
| 2019 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2018 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2017 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2006 | 44 | 18 | 40.9% | 7 |
| 2005 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 11 |
| 2004 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% | 2 |
Over 264 matches (Aug 2015 – Nov 2026), SS Arezzo drew 77 where the draw model expected 79.9 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 78.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.