What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 21 Mar 1999 → 26 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 28 Jun 2003 → 15 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 18 Mar 2000 → 18 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 15 Jul 2000 → 21 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 19 Mar 2003 → 11 Jun 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 23 May 2001 → 18 Jul 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 24 Oct 2003 → 13 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 25 Apr 1998 → 27 Aug 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 15 Oct 2000 → 04 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 13 Oct 1999 → 07 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 96 | 15 | 15.6% | 1 | 18 |
| Armenian Cup | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 1 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 12 |
| 2001 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 10 |
| 1999 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 27 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 150 matches (Apr 1992 – Oct 2025), Araks Ararat drew 22 where the draw model expected 26.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 29.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.