What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 25 Mar 2012 → 05 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 20 Dec 2012 → 10 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 18 Oct 1998 → 19 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 24 Oct 2021 → 18 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 30 May 2009 → 25 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 10 Jan 2009 → 01 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 01 Dec 1996 → 02 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 17 Sep 2023 → 10 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 14 Oct 2022 → 03 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 13 Mar 2021 → 24 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 900 | 243 | 27.0% | 2 | 13 |
| Turkish Cup | 130 | 37 | 28.5% | 2 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2025 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2023 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2022 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2021 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 10 |
| 2020 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2019 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2018 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2017 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2015 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2014 | 26 | 10 | 38.5% | 8 |
| 2013 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 16 |
| 2011 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 6 |
| 2010 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2009 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 10 |
| 2008 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2007 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 5 |
| 2006 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 2001 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 2000 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 1999 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 6 |
| 1998 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 11 |
| 1997 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 9 |
| 1996 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 1995 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 1994 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 449 matches (Aug 2015 – May 2026), Antalyaspor drew 123 where the draw model expected 112.8 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 110.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.