What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 17 Sep 2012 → 26 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 09 Mar 2018 → 06 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 20 Nov 2016 → 18 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 21 Mar 2015 → 30 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 18 Aug 2014 → 25 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 20 Aug 2017 → 30 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 21 May 2017 → 05 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 10 Nov 2013 → 10 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 27 Apr 2017 → 13 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 21 Aug 2016 → 17 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 182 | 56 | 30.8% | 2 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 4 |
| 2015 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2014 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 7 |
| 2013 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2012 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 106 matches (Mar 2015 – May 2018), Amkar Perm drew 34 where the draw model expected 30.3 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 27.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.