What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 31 Aug 2002 → 30 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 14 Aug 2021 → 26 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 07 May 1995 → 15 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 10 Dec 2021 → 06 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 25 Aug 1996 → 03 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 03 May 1998 → 20 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 03 Apr 1968 → 02 Oct 1968 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 02 Dec 1998 → 13 Feb 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 25 May 1997 → 14 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 03 Dec 1995 → 03 Feb 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 276 | 70 | 25.4% | 2 | 14 |
| Turkish Cup | 138 | 36 | 26.1% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 11 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2002 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1999 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 6 |
| 1998 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 1997 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 1996 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 10 |
| 1995 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 11 |
| 1994 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1979 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1967 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
Over 426 matches (Jul 1962 – Sep 2025), Altay SK drew 109 where the draw model expected 102.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 102.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.