What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 01 Jul 1948 → 10 Oct 1948 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 15 May 1949 → 07 Aug 1949 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 4 | 01 Jul 1939 → 01 Sep 1939 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 3 | 26 Jun 1955 → 01 Aug 1955 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 3 | 01 Jul 1946 → 25 Aug 1946 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 2 | 02 May 2012 → 09 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 2 | 12 May 2008 → 04 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 2 | 10 May 2006 → 08 Jun 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 2 | 05 May 2004 → 26 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 06 May 2003 → 13 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwegian Football Cup | 89 | 13 | 14.6% | 1 | 4 |
| Eliteserien | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 1 | 7 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1955 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1949 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 6 |
| 1948 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 117 matches (Aug 1934 – May 2019), Ålgård FK drew 23 where the draw model expected 20.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 19.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.