Deportivo Alavés
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 506 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Deportivo Alavés drew 125 where the draw model expected 138.2 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 134.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 21 Oct 2001 → 19 Aug 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 25 | 27 May 2017 → 17 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 24 | 22 Feb 2015 → 20 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 16 Jan 2005 → 22 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 26 Nov 2022 → 19 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 13 Mar 2022 → 19 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 25 Nov 2000 → 18 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 28 Aug 2024 → 23 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 11 May 2021 → 26 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 05 Apr 2001 → 09 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 577 | 137 | 23.7% | 0 | 30 |
| Segunda División | 458 | 129 | 28.2% | 0 | 23 |
| Copa del Rey | 52 | 8 | 15.4% | 5 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2025 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 13 |
| 2023 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2022 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 15 |
| 2021 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2020 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 10 |
| 2017 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 20 |
| 2016 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 24 |
| 2014 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 7 |
| 2013 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2007 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 10 |
| 2006 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2005 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 19 |
| 2004 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2003 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 23 |
| 2001 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2000 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 1999 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 1998 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 1996 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 8 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:15 |
Deportivo Alavés
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:15 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 19:00 |
Deportivo Alavés
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 20:00 |
Barcelona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Sevilla
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.