What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 21 Oct 2001 → 19 Aug 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 25 | 27 May 2017 → 17 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 24 | 22 Feb 2015 → 20 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 16 Jan 2005 → 22 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 26 Nov 2022 → 19 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 13 Mar 2022 → 19 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 25 Nov 2000 → 18 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 28 Aug 2024 → 23 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 11 May 2021 → 26 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 05 Apr 2001 → 09 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 581 | 138 | 23.8% | 1 | 30 |
| Segunda División | 458 | 129 | 28.2% | 0 | 23 |
| Copa del Rey | 52 | 8 | 15.4% | 5 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 13 |
| 2023 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2022 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 15 |
| 2021 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2020 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 10 |
| 2017 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 20 |
| 2016 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 24 |
| 2014 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 7 |
| 2013 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2007 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 10 |
| 2006 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2005 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 19 |
| 2004 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2003 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 23 |
| 2001 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2000 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 1999 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 1998 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 1996 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 8 |
Over 510 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Deportivo Alavés drew 126 where the draw model expected 139.0 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 135.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.