What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 18 May 2018 → 04 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 25 Feb 2017 → 19 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 09 Apr 2023 → 14 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 07 Mar 2022 → 07 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 24 Sep 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 03 May 2021 → 23 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 08 Mar 2021 → 22 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 17 Dec 2019 → 05 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 22 Dec 2017 → 09 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 05 Nov 2021 → 22 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 369 | 97 | 26.3% | 3 | 15 |
| Turkish Cup | 80 | 16 | 20.0% | 4 | 14 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 4 |
| 2025 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2024 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% | 7 |
| 2023 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2022 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 9 |
| 2020 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 17 |
| 2017 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 15 |
| 2016 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2008 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 416 matches (Sep 2015 – Nov 2026), Alanyaspor drew 109 where the draw model expected 100.1 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 102.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.