What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 31 Oct 2023 → 28 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 01 Apr 2025 → 29 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 05 Sep 2026 → 23 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 17 Apr 2009 → 15 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 11 Apr 1982 → 07 May 1982 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 20 Dec 2021 → 07 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 07 Jan 2018 → 01 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 09 Mar 2015 → 31 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 23 Apr 2008 → 14 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 21 Mar 1984 → 13 Apr 1984 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Cup | 128 | 31 | 24.2% | 0 | 5 |
| Saudi Pro League | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 2 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1981 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 146 matches (May 1976 – Oct 2026), Al Ittihad drew 33 where the draw model expected 28.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.