What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 25 Jul 2021 → 07 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 08 Apr 2017 → 27 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 14 Aug 2022 → 19 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 30 Jul 2012 → 24 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 02 Mar 2024 → 25 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 02 Apr 2016 → 08 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 14 Aug 2020 → 27 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 11 May 2019 → 11 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 28 Sep 2014 → 03 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 28 Sep 2024 → 24 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 422 | 111 | 26.3% | 1 | 20 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15 | 8 | 53.3% | 2 |
| 2025 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2024 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 12 |
| 2023 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 2022 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 13 |
| 2021 | 29 | 2 | 6.9% | 18 |
| 2020 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2017 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 17 |
| 2016 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 11 |
| 2015 | 31 | 13 | 41.9% | 5 |
| 2014 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2013 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 4 |
| 2012 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 16 |
| 2004 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
Over 346 matches (Mar 2015 – Aug 2026), Akhmat Grozny drew 93 where the draw model expected 94.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 89.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.