What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 28 Dec 2022 → 16 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 09 Feb 2018 → 27 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 04 Dec 2009 → 26 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 18 Feb 2006 → 13 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 07 Dec 2024 → 03 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 29 Nov 2019 → 21 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 09 Dec 2016 → 17 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 03 Sep 1999 → 30 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 18 Aug 2017 → 23 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 05 Oct 2007 → 21 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 708 | 202 | 28.5% | 3 | 12 |
| Ligue 1 | 304 | 91 | 29.9% | 4 | 16 |
| Coupe de France | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2024 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 17 |
| 2022 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2020 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2019 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2018 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 12 |
| 2017 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 5 |
| 2015 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2014 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 5 |
| 2013 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2010 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2009 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2008 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2007 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 12 |
| 2005 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2004 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 6 |
| 2003 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2002 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2001 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2000 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 1999 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 1998 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 4 |
Over 395 matches (Jan 2015 – May 2025), AC Ajaccio drew 102 where the draw model expected 121.1 from those particular fixtures — about 19 fewer, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 120.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.