What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 19 Jul 2015 → 26 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 21 Apr 2024 → 31 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 27 Sep 2021 → 27 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 06 Jul 2019 → 25 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 24 Jul 2016 → 25 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 17 Aug 2025 → 22 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 16 Aug 2023 → 23 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 23 Aug 2018 → 30 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 12 Aug 2012 → 20 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 13 Feb 2026 → 05 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 446 | 115 | 25.8% | 0 | 18 |
| Swedish Cup | 168 | 37 | 22.0% | 4 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 76 | 19 | 25.0% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 19 |
| 2023 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2022 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 10 |
| 2020 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 2018 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2017 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 4 |
| 2016 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2015 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 20 |
| 2014 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2013 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 2009 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1999 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1995 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1991 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1949 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1946 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1944 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1943 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 453 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), AIK Fotboll drew 113 where the draw model expected 108.0 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 108.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.