What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 21 Aug 2018 → 01 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Nov 2011 → 14 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 03 Apr 2010 → 28 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 16 Aug 2025 → 04 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 01 Apr 2024 → 24 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 08 Mar 2016 → 26 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 29 Nov 2014 → 24 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 06 Aug 2013 → 05 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 03 Mar 2012 → 09 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 01 Oct 2024 → 16 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 368 | 104 | 28.3% | 3 | 11 |
| League One | 324 | 100 | 30.9% | 1 | 17 |
| National League | 90 | 19 | 21.1% | 1 | 12 |
| FA Cup | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 8 |
| 2022 | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 2019 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 20 |
| 2017 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2015 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 10 |
| 2012 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2010 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 12 |
| 2009 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 588 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), AFC Wimbledon drew 175 where the draw model expected 162.5 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 156.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.