AEK Athens
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 510 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), AEK Athens drew 118 where the draw model expected 117.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 120.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 Sep 1997 → 04 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 01 Apr 2001 → 30 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 28 Oct 2007 → 24 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 29 Jul 1975 → 01 Dec 1976 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 15 Dec 2022 → 12 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 20 Oct 2011 → 22 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 16 | 18 Nov 2001 → 10 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 12 Feb 2006 → 10 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 11 May 2022 → 30 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 19 Aug 1977 → 21 Feb 1979 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 959 | 212 | 22.1% | 1 | 22 |
| Greek Football Cup | 417 | 87 | 20.9% | 5 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 140 | 33 | 23.6% | 4 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 69 | 20 | 29.0% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 50 | 7 | 14.0% | 13 |
| 2024 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 15 |
| 2022 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2021 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 8 |
| 2020 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 2019 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 9 |
| 2018 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 10 |
| 2017 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 8 |
| 2016 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 11 |
| 2015 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 8 |
| 2011 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 16 |
| 2010 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2009 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2008 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 8 |
| 2007 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 11 |
| 2006 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 15 |
| 2005 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 12 |
| 2004 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 10 |
| 2003 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 13 |
| 2002 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 9 |
| 2001 | 48 | 5 | 10.4% | 20 |
| 2000 | 56 | 9 | 16.1% | 11 |
| 1999 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 10 |
| 1998 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 1997 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 20 |
| 1996 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 7 |
| 1995 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 1994 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 12 |
| 1993 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1992 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1988 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1983 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 10 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1978 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1977 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1976 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 15 |
| 1975 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1974 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1971 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1953 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1952 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% | 1 |
| 1949 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1931 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 16:30 |
AEK Athens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 19:00 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 16:30 |
Atromitos Athens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 19:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 17:00 |
AEK Athens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 17:00 |
Panathinaikos
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.7% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 17:45 |
AEK Athens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:00 |
AEK Athens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.