What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 25 Jun 2024 → 27 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 13 Jul 2025 → 18 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 13 May 2022 → 31 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 04 Apr 2026 → 31 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 05 Apr 2025 → 17 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 03 May 2021 → 30 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 19 Aug 2023 → 06 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 08 Sep 2026 → 24 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 27 Jun 2023 → 30 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 29 Apr 2023 → 26 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veikkausliiga | 171 | 33 | 19.3% | 0 | 13 |
| Finnish Cup | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 2 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2025 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 14 |
| 2024 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 15 |
| 2023 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2022 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2021 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 9 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 203 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), AC Oulu drew 37 where the draw model expected 47.9 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 48.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.