What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 09 Feb 2014 → 04 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 03 May 2015 → 12 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 10 Aug 2013 → 26 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 10 Mar 1996 → 09 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 10 Feb 2021 → 26 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 10 Jul 2026 → 02 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 14 Aug 2016 → 01 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 21 Mar 2015 → 19 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 09 Nov 2014 → 07 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 10 Nov 2013 → 15 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Cup | 272 | 53 | 19.5% | 3 | 6 |
| Super League | 74 | 18 | 24.3% | 2 | 14 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2014 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2013 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2003 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1996 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1967 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1949 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1944 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1943 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1942 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1941 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1936 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1935 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
Over 366 matches (Oct 1925 – Oct 2026), Aarau drew 74 where the draw model expected 62.5 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 64.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.