Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,530 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,587 reached 20 Aug 1995
Rank #1,385 of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated 343 last 25 Sep 2022

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Belgian Pro League 238 60 25.2%
Belgian Cup 101 14 13.9%
UEFA Europa League 4 1 25.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2022 1 1 100.0% 0
2021 1 1 100.0% 0
2019 1 0 0.0% 1
2018 4 0 0.0% 4
2017 3 0 0.0% 3
2016 5 0 0.0% 5
2015 1 1 100.0% 0
2014 3 0 0.0% 3
2013 1 0 0.0% 1
2012 1 1 100.0% 0
2011 1 0 0.0% 1
2010 4 1 25.0% 2
2009 4 1 25.0% 2
2008 2 0 0.0% 1
2007 6 0 0.0% 6
2006 1 0 0.0% 1
2005 1 1 100.0% 0
2004 1 0 0.0% 1
2002 17 6 35.3% 5
2001 35 7 20.0% 8
2000 38 6 15.8% 13
1999 34 5 14.7% 7
1998 37 11 29.7% 7
1997 35 8 22.9% 9
1996 31 13 41.9% 3
1995 24 6 25.0% 9
1983 2 0 0.0% 1
1982 2 0 0.0% 2
1981 2 0 0.0% 2
1980 3 0 0.0% 3
1979 4 0 0.0% 4
1978 3 0 0.0% 3
1977 1 0 0.0% 1
1976 2 0 0.0% 2
1975 2 0 0.0% 2
1974 2 1 50.0% 1
1973 2 0 0.0% 2
1972 1 0 0.0% 1
1971 2 0 0.0% 2
1970 2 0 0.0% 2
1969 3 1 33.3% 1
1968 1 1 100.0% 0
1967 2 0 0.0% 2
1966 2 0 0.0% 2
1965 2 0 0.0% 2
1964 4 0 0.0% 2
1963 2 1 50.0% 1
1953 1 0 0.0% 1
1935 3 1 33.3% 2
1926 1 1 100.0% 0

Over 343 matches (Aug 1926 – Sep 2022), Eendracht Aalst drew 75 where the draw model expected 74.3 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 77.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.