AaB
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 374 matches (Feb 2015 – Jul 2026), AaB drew 94 where the draw model expected 94.9 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 92.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 24 Jul 2015 → 07 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 12 Aug 2012 → 01 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 29 Jul 2019 → 03 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 08 Mar 2014 → 07 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 19 Jul 2024 → 29 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 14 Mar 2022 → 08 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 27 Aug 2021 → 25 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 07 Jun 2020 → 09 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 03 Nov 2014 → 30 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 24 Oct 2022 → 02 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 402 | 107 | 26.6% | 3 | 17 |
| Danish Cup | 76 | 15 | 19.7% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 0 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2025 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 3 |
| 2024 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 12 |
| 2023 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2021 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 15 |
| 2018 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2016 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2015 | 38 | 3 | 7.9% | 20 |
| 2014 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 13 |
| 2013 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 15 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2008 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 2007 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2004 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1987 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 13:00 |
Randers FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.