What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 09 Aug 2025 → 29 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 22 Apr 2005 → 21 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 22 Nov 2004 → 01 Apr 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 12 Feb 2011 → 08 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 28 Mar 2008 → 24 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 12 Aug 2006 → 04 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 17 Aug 2003 → 07 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 22 Feb 2002 → 11 Aug 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 26 Oct 2001 → 10 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 27 Feb 2007 → 05 May 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 408 | 98 | 24.0% | 5 | 15 |
| 3. Liga | 126 | 33 | 26.2% | 7 | 15 |
| Bundesliga | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 1 | 10 |
| DFB-Pokal | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2025 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 15 |
| 2024 | 20 | 10 | 50.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 2011 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 12 |
| 2010 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2009 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2007 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2006 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2005 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 15 |
| 2004 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 5 |
| 2003 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 12 |
| 2002 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 12 |
| 2001 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 8 |
| 2000 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 1999 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 3 |
Over 599 matches (Aug 1999 – Nov 2026), Alemannia Aachen drew 142 where the draw model expected 159.4 from those particular fixtures — about 17 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 162.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.