What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 17 Apr 2009 → 23 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 16 Apr 2017 → 20 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 02 Dec 2016 → 11 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 02 Sep 2016 → 05 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 13 Mar 2012 → 08 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 21 Jan 2012 → 03 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 17 Sep 2011 → 15 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 15 Aug 2008 → 12 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 28 Oct 2016 → 05 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 07 Dec 2008 → 20 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regionalliga West | 70 | 20 | 28.6% | 0 | 7 |
| Regionalliga Südwest | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 6 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 6 |
| 2012 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2011 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 5 |
| 2009 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 4 |
Over 106 matches (Aug 2008 – May 2017), 1. FC Kaiserslautern II drew 32 where the draw model expected 28.8 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.