Match ☆ 10 Oct 2026
MEX · Liga MX · 2026
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Betting odds
1X2 (match) betting odds
Bet365 home win odds 1.79
Bet365 draw odds 3.7
Bet365 away win odds 4.2
Betfair Exchange home win odds 1.89
Betfair Exchange draw odds 3.85
Betfair Exchange away win odds 4.1
Market maximum home win odds 1.9
Market maximum draw odds 3.7
Market maximum away win odds 4.2
Market average home win odds 1.85
Market average draw odds 3.58
Market average away win odds 3.74
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Club América CF Monterrey
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 2 2
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 20 19
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.52 0.38
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 26.0% 18.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 26.0% 20.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 27.1% 25.6%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 4
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.90

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 10 Oct 2026, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Club América 1,674
CF Monterrey 1,556
Rating gap +183 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 23.7% 150–199 · 53,224 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.