Zimbabwe
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 496 matches (Jun 1946 – May 2026), Zimbabwe drew 139 where the draw model expected 127.5 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 123.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 08 Aug 1999 → 25 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 17 Nov 2010 → 06 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 08 Jun 1997 → 18 Jul 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 17 Jun 2012 → 28 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 04 Sep 2005 → 31 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 05 Jul 2003 → 29 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 08 Jul 1983 → 04 Dec 1983 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 01 Nov 2009 → 04 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 03 Feb 1985 → 04 Oct 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 08 Jul 1981 → 30 Sep 1981 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 188 | 51 | 27.1% | 2 | 7 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 96 | 26 | 27.1% | 1 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 79 | 23 | 29.1% | 1 | 5 |
| COSAFA Cup | 60 | 17 | 28.3% | 2 | 5 |
| CECAFA Cup | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 | 5 |
| African Cup of Nations | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 1 | 3 |
| Dunhill Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Afro-Asian Games | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Simba Tournament | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Unity Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Mukuru 4 Nations | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 2024 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2020 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2019 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 3 |
| 2018 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2016 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2015 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2013 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2012 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 2007 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 4 |
| 2006 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2005 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 2004 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2003 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2002 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2001 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 11 |
| 2000 | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 14 |
| 1999 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1998 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 1996 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1995 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1994 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1992 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1990 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1989 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 4 |
| 1985 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 1984 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 1983 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1982 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 1981 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 1980 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% | 1 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
