What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 15 Dec 1962 → 04 Oct 1963 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 5 | 06 Nov 2005 → 30 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 26 Nov 1977 → 29 Jan 1978 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 30 Sep 1961 → 05 Dec 1961 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 03 Jan 2025 → 13 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 04 Jun 2012 → 09 Jun 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 11 Dec 2004 → 19 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 15 Nov 1992 → 24 Nov 1992 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 12 Dec 1990 → 19 Dec 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 08 Sep 1964 → 05 Oct 1964 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CECAFA Cup | 118 | 29 | 24.6% | 0 | 4 |
| Friendly | 74 | 8 | 10.8% | 1 | 6 |
| ELF Cup | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 0 | 1 |
| FIFI Wild Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Viva World Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Mapinduzi Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2009 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 3 |
| 2005 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 209 matches (Sep 1947 – Jan 2025), Zanzibar drew 41 where the draw model expected 49.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 49.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.