What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 25 Jun 1975 → 15 Jul 1977 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 01 Nov 1970 → 12 Dec 1971 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 31 Mar 1994 → 15 Jul 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 15 Jul 2022 → 16 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 28 Sep 1973 → 09 Mar 1974 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 02 Jun 2012 → 05 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 22 Jul 2006 → 08 Dec 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 18 Jun 2000 → 13 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 11 Jan 1991 → 27 Nov 1991 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 21 Nov 1981 → 18 Mar 1982 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 321 | 85 | 26.5% | 3 | 16 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 129 | 31 | 24.0% | 3 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 111 | 21 | 18.9% | 3 | 7 |
| CECAFA Cup | 80 | 18 | 22.5% | 0 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations | 73 | 24 | 32.9% | 1 | 5 |
| COSAFA Cup | 68 | 22 | 32.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Korea Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Nehru Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Simba Tournament | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Zambian Independence Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2024 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2023 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 8 |
| 2022 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2020 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2016 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 3 |
| 2015 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2014 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 25 | 12 | 48.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2011 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2010 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2008 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 2007 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2006 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2005 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2004 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2002 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 2001 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 3 |
| 2000 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 1999 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1998 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 2 |
| 1997 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 5 |
| 1996 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 1995 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1994 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 10 |
| 1993 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 1992 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 8 |
| 1991 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 9 |
| 1990 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 1988 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 1987 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1986 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1981 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 1980 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1979 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1978 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 9 |
| 1977 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 8 |
| 1976 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1975 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 1974 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1973 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 1972 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 18 | 0 | 0.0% | 18 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1968 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1965 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 132 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Zambia drew 35 where the draw model expected 33.7 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 33.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.