What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 Jun 2023 → 10 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 21 Dec 2024 → 24 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 25 Sep 2003 → 13 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 07 Jun 2021 → 12 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 09 Apr 1993 → 15 Jun 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 22 Feb 1997 → 05 Oct 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 09 Oct 2013 → 16 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 01 Jun 2022 → 27 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 04 Dec 1995 → 16 Dec 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 18 Sep 2026 → 05 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFF Championship | 78 | 22 | 28.2% | 1 | 5 |
| Friendly | 63 | 16 | 25.4% | 3 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 62 | 6 | 9.7% | 6 | 12 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 5 | 6 |
| Southeast Asian Games | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 3 | 6 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| ASEAN Championship | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 5 |
| VFF Cup | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Asian Games | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| King's Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Dunhill Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 10 |
| 2023 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 8 |
| 2022 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2021 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 2019 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2017 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 2016 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2013 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2009 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2008 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 2007 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 2006 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2003 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2000 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1999 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1998 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 10 |
| 1996 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1995 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1993 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 11 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 125 matches (May 2015 – Oct 2026), Vietnam drew 25 where the draw model expected 23.0 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 27.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 12 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.