Vélez Sarsfield
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 422 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Vélez Sarsfield drew 127 where the draw model expected 131.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 127.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 Sep 2012 → 08 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 04 Oct 2015 → 23 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 12 Dec 2020 → 20 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 26 Feb 2025 → 15 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 15 Sep 2022 → 03 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 27 Aug 2016 → 13 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Nov 2024 → 03 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 18 Aug 2024 → 05 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 18 Aug 2019 → 20 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 10 Apr 2017 → 25 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 415 | 122 | 29.4% | 2 | 18 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 71 | 21 | 29.6% | 0 | 12 |
| Copa Argentina | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 0 | 8 |
| Supercopa Argentina | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 13 | 41.9% | 5 |
| 2025 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 2024 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 10 |
| 2021 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2020 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 8 |
| 2018 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 5 |
| 2017 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 12 |
| 2015 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2012 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 05 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Oct 22:00 |
Vélez Sarsfield
|
vs |
|
1.91 2.97 4.51 | 27.8% |
|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 19:00 |
Club Atlético Lanús
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Vélez Sarsfield
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Central Córdoba (SdE)
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Vélez Sarsfield
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Unión de Santa Fe
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.