Vanuatu
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 214 matches (Oct 1951 – Jun 2026), Vanuatu drew 29 where the draw model expected 34.3 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 34.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 28 Nov 2023 → 09 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 17 Jul 2007 → 21 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 10 Apr 2000 → 28 Jun 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 12 May 2004 → 06 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 27 Jun 1992 → 26 Sep 1992 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 30 Jul 2011 → 05 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 06 Jul 2002 → 14 Jul 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 16 Aug 1995 → 26 Aug 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 10 Sep 1991 → 20 Sep 1991 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 29 Aug 1979 → 06 Sep 1979 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Pacific Games | 52 | 7 | 13.5% | 6 | 6 |
| Oceania Nations Cup | 40 | 1 | 2.5% | 4 | 5 |
| Friendly | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 1 | 2 |
| Melanesia Cup | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 4 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 3 | 4 |
| South Pacific Mini Games | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Pacific Games | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 2 | 5 |
| MSG Prime Minister's Cup | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Pacific Mini Games | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2024 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2008 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 8 |
| 2003 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1991 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1990 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1983 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |