What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 28 Nov 1992 → 03 May 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 03 Jun 2016 → 07 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 22 Oct 1984 → 07 Apr 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 16 Oct 2012 → 22 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 10 Mar 1982 → 14 Aug 1982 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 11 Nov 2021 → 29 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 25 Aug 2011 → 29 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 29 Aug 2019 → 02 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 11 Oct 2006 → 30 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 16 Sep 1998 → 03 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 207 | 58 | 28.0% | 2 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 136 | 28 | 20.6% | 1 | 9 |
| Gulf Cup | 118 | 32 | 27.1% | 0 | 6 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 0 | 4 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 0 | 4 |
| United Arab Emirates Friendship Tournament | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 0 | 3 |
| Asian Games | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 | 3 |
| Arab Cup | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 1 | 4 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 5 |
| Palestine Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Confederations Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA World Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| King's Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Kirin Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| OSN Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2024 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2023 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2018 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 2017 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2016 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 9 |
| 2015 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 6 |
| 2014 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 4 |
| 2013 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2010 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2009 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2008 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 7 |
| 2007 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 7 |
| 2005 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2003 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 2002 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2001 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 2000 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1998 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 9 |
| 1997 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1996 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 1994 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 3 |
| 1993 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 10 |
| 1992 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 5 |
| 1990 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 1989 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 1988 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1985 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1984 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1982 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 11 |
| 1981 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1979 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 145 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), United Arab Emirates drew 32 where the draw model expected 32.0 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 33.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 5 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.