What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 26 Sep 1984 → 24 Jan 1986 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 13 Nov 2021 → 25 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 09 Jun 2018 → 17 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 05 Jul 1997 → 16 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 30 Dec 2016 → 01 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 03 Mar 1963 → 18 Apr 1963 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 14 Nov 2024 → 13 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 26 Mar 2005 → 03 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 08 Dec 1982 → 14 Aug 1983 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 06 Jan 1974 → 29 Dec 1974 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 295 | 85 | 28.8% | 2 | 9 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 122 | 31 | 25.4% | 4 | 8 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 105 | 26 | 24.8% | 2 | 5 |
| African Cup of Nations | 86 | 32 | 37.2% | 0 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 3 | 3 |
| Arab Cup | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 1 | 6 |
| Palestine Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 0 | 6 |
| African Friendship Games | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 5 |
| Malta International Tournament | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 2 |
| All-African Games | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Kuneitra Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Confederations Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Kirin Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Arab Cup qualification | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2024 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 3 |
| 2023 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2022 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 8 |
| 2020 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2018 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 9 |
| 2017 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 2016 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2015 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 2 |
| 2014 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2013 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 3 |
| 2012 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 2009 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2007 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2006 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2004 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2002 | 14 | 8 | 57.1% | 3 |
| 2001 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2000 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 3 |
| 1999 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1998 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 1997 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 1996 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 1995 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 1994 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 1993 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1991 | 13 | 7 | 53.8% | 3 |
| 1990 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1989 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1988 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1987 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1986 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 1984 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1982 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1981 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1980 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1977 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 1976 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1973 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1972 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1959 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 153 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Tunisia drew 37 where the draw model expected 36.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 37.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.