What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 22 May 2003 → 31 Jan 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 17 Jun 2009 → 26 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 06 Sep 2008 → 06 Jun 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 09 Apr 2000 → 03 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 13 Jan 1996 → 18 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 10 Jun 2017 → 14 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 06 Apr 1997 → 07 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 24 Jun 2019 → 17 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 15 Jun 2012 → 08 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 30 Mar 2004 → 17 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 198 | 53 | 26.8% | 2 | 15 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 68 | 27 | 39.7% | 2 | 3 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 66 | 12 | 18.2% | 1 | 5 |
| COSAFA Cup | 59 | 21 | 35.6% | 0 | 3 |
| African Cup of Nations | 54 | 17 | 31.5% | 4 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Confederations Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Simba Tournament | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Gold Cup | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 0 | 1 |
| USA Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 18 | 10 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 2023 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2022 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2018 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 2016 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% | 2 |
| 2015 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 5 |
| 2014 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2012 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 2011 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2010 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2009 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 11 |
| 2008 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 6 |
| 2007 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2006 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2005 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2004 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 8 |
| 2003 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2002 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2000 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 11 |
| 1999 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1998 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 9 |
| 1996 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 11 |
| 1995 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1992 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1947 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1924 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 149 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), South Africa drew 56 where the draw model expected 36.1 from those particular fixtures — about 20 more, or 3.8 standard errors, well beyond the model — which is as likely to be a gap in the model as a property of South Africa.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 12 times running. A flat league average would have expected 38.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.