What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 348 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), IK Sirius drew 80 where the draw model expected 81.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 83.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 08 May 2023 → 21 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 23 May 2018 → 02 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 29 Jul 2017 → 15 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 20 Aug 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 09 Aug 2025 → 05 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 26 May 2024 → 11 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Apr 2019 → 30 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 11 Nov 2018 → 20 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 10 Nov 2024 → 13 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 15 Aug 2026 → 19 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 294 | 66 | 22.5% | 6 | 21 |
| Swedish Cup | 86 | 18 | 20.9% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 6 |
| 2025 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2024 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2023 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 22 |
| 2022 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2020 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2018 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 2017 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2014 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 15:30 |
Brøndby IF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.