What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 17 Dec 1995 → 29 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 11 Oct 1970 → 04 Dec 1971 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 02 Dec 2007 → 14 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 04 Sep 1994 → 26 Apr 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 08 Oct 1983 → 10 Feb 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 07 Nov 1982 → 17 Apr 1983 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 20 Jan 2022 → 09 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 14 Jan 2012 → 02 Jun 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 24 Mar 2007 → 17 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 02 Feb 1986 → 10 Feb 1986 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 97 | 15 | 15.5% | 2 | 8 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 89 | 27 | 30.3% | 1 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 3 | 4 |
| AmÃlcar Cabral Cup | 49 | 20 | 40.8% | 1 | 5 |
| African Cup of Nations | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 3 |
| FIFA Series | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2022 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2011 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2007 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2000 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1999 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1997 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1996 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1995 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1987 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1986 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1985 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1984 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1976 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1968 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 303 matches (Oct 1949 – Sep 2026), Sierra Leone drew 78 where the draw model expected 76.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 76.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.