What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 25 Mar 2023 → 20 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 24 Mar 2007 → 14 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 24 Jul 2019 → 18 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 26 Mar 2016 → 03 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 19 May 2015 → 04 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 11 Nov 2011 → 17 Jun 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 01 Jun 2008 → 19 Jul 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 13 Jun 1998 → 15 Aug 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 03 Sep 2025 → 14 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 27 Mar 2022 → 10 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 2 | 3 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 1 | 4 |
| Indian Ocean Island Games | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 2 | 4 |
| COSAFA Cup | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 26 | 2 | 7.7% | 4 | 6 |
| Mahinda Rajapaksa Cup | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 0 | 1 |
| CECAFA Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2021 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2019 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2016 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2007 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2006 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 183 matches (Mar 1974 – Sep 2026), Seychelles drew 30 where the draw model expected 41.1 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 2.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 46.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 5 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.