What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13 Oct 2018 → 19 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 18 Aug 1985 → 13 Mar 1986 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 29 Sep 1979 → 02 Jul 1980 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 17 Nov 2015 → 19 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 14 Oct 2009 → 26 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 09 Nov 1980 → 12 Apr 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 25 Jun 2011 → 29 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 17 Jun 2001 → 26 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 02 Feb 1977 → 26 Jun 1977 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 30 Dec 2025 → 31 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 246 | 62 | 25.2% | 1 | 10 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 124 | 29 | 23.4% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 81 | 26 | 32.1% | 4 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations | 78 | 19 | 24.4% | 5 | 7 |
| AmÃlcar Cabral Cup | 69 | 19 | 27.5% | 1 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 4 | 4 |
| COSAFA Cup | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 0 | 4 |
| African Friendship Games | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 0 | 4 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 2 |
| All-African Games | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Dakar Tournament | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Kirin Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 7 |
| 2025 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2024 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2022 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 10 |
| 2018 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2017 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 4 |
| 2016 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2014 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2011 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2010 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2005 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2003 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2002 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2001 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2000 | 17 | 11 | 64.7% | 2 |
| 1999 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1997 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 1996 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1995 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 1993 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 1992 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1991 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 1990 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1989 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 1988 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1987 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1986 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1985 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 1983 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1981 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1980 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 9 |
| 1979 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1977 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1976 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1970 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1969 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1968 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1963 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 1962 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1961 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
Over 150 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Senegal drew 36 where the draw model expected 32.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 37.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.