What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 14 Jul 2007 → 22 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 16 Nov 2014 → 08 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 11 Oct 2016 → 22 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 19 Jun 2006 → 18 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 20 Jan 2002 → 11 Jun 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 04 Jun 1994 → 04 Nov 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 20 Oct 2000 → 19 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 02 Nov 1992 → 01 May 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 14 Nov 2025 → 05 Jun 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 14 Nov 2020 → 12 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 287 | 71 | 24.7% | 0 | 11 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 154 | 38 | 24.7% | 0 | 8 |
| Gulf Cup | 118 | 25 | 21.2% | 4 | 6 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 0 | 5 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 32 | 2 | 6.3% | 1 | 6 |
| Arab Cup | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 5 | 5 |
| Asian Games | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 0 | 4 |
| Confederations Cup | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 3 |
| WAFF Championship | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Gold Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Palestine Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| OSN Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 2025 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2023 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 5 |
| 2022 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2017 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 11 |
| 2016 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2014 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2013 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 2012 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2011 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2010 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2009 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2007 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2006 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2005 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2003 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2001 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 8 |
| 2000 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1998 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 1997 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1996 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1995 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1994 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 13 |
| 1993 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 1992 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 1990 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 24 | 10 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 1986 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 1985 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1984 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 1982 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 1981 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 6 |
| 1980 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1979 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 8 |
| 1975 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 168 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Saudi Arabia drew 37 where the draw model expected 38.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 39.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 5 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.