What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 18 Feb 2004 → 31 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 12 Nov 2015 → 13 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 21 May 2025 → 05 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 25 Jun 2023 → 15 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 03 Dec 2017 → 23 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 01 Mar 1998 → 28 May 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 06 Dec 1995 → 28 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 24 Mar 2021 → 15 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 25 Jul 2002 → 15 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 02 Feb 2000 → 22 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 62 | 12 | 19.4% | 6 | 6 |
| Friendly | 61 | 9 | 14.8% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 2 | 10 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 2 | 4 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 1 | 4 |
| SKN Football Festival | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 3 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Gold Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Series | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2025 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2021 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2016 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2015 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 1 |
| 2010 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2009 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 13 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2001 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2000 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1999 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1996 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1995 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 230 matches (Aug 1938 – Oct 2026), Saint Kitts and Nevis drew 42 where the draw model expected 47.9 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 49.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.