Rosario Central
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 427 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Rosario Central drew 138 where the draw model expected 131.2 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 129.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 02 Apr 2021 → 15 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 08 Jul 2024 → 01 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 04 Feb 2024 → 10 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 08 Apr 2017 → 22 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 30 Nov 2016 → 25 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 18 Oct 2015 → 17 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 15 Feb 2022 → 04 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 25 Aug 2021 → 03 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 29 Dec 2020 → 21 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 16 Mar 2018 → 05 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 378 | 123 | 32.5% | 2 | 9 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 70 | 17 | 24.3% | 0 | 11 |
| Copa Argentina | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 2 | 8 |
| Supercopa Argentina | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 2025 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 2024 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2023 | 46 | 19 | 41.3% | 4 |
| 2022 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 7 |
| 2021 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 12 |
| 2020 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 5 |
| 2019 | 29 | 15 | 51.7% | 5 |
| 2018 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2015 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2014 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2013 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 05 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Oct 00:15 |
Club Atlético Banfield
|
vs |
|
4.01 3.25 1.90 | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 20:00 |
Rosario Central
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Atlético Tucumán
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Rosario Central
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Sarmiento de Junín
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Rosario Central
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.