River Plate
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 463 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), River Plate drew 114 where the draw model expected 126.7 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 137.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 03 Oct 2022 → 24 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 18 Oct 2017 → 12 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 14 May 2026 → 16 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 13 Mar 2024 → 18 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 09 Sep 2018 → 03 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 13 Mar 2026 → 03 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 31 Aug 2025 → 19 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 05 Mar 2022 → 20 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 16 Sep 2021 → 25 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 20 Nov 2016 → 04 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 418 | 111 | 26.6% | 4 | 24 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 71 | 18 | 25.4% | 5 | 7 |
| Copa Argentina | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 1 | 4 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 2 |
| Supercopa Argentina | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 9 |
| 2025 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 8 |
| 2024 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 9 |
| 2023 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 17 |
| 2022 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 8 |
| 2021 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 7 |
| 2018 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2017 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2016 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2015 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2014 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2013 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2012 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 5 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 07 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Oct 22:30 |
Sarmiento de Junín
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 00:30 |
River Plate
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 22:00 |
Sarmiento de Junín
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Belgrano de Córdoba
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
River Plate
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Boca Juniors
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Club Atlético Aldosivi
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.